Wednesday, October 20, 2004

KW's Sox/Yankees thoughts

Whenever you flip a coin, you have a statistical chance of close to 50% of getting heads. Same for tails. Heck, that's why we flip coins as a society. Flip one coin a thousand times, and chances are the heads and tails will be darn close to even, if not right at 500 each. So why can't the Red Sox get it right?

Now, the Sox have had their curse for almost 90 years, right? And throughout those years, the Yankees have been the main foe. No one can convince me that the Sox haven't had good teams or that the Yankees have just always had a better team...every single year. (For starters, conventional wisdom this post-season is that the Sox actually have the better team). So, there has to be some reason they keep losing.

I don't believe in curses...which is to say that there is some ghost or spirit or entity that is still so pissed that they made the Babe Ruth trade that he or it hangs around through October to put the spiritual kibosh on the hopes of the Red Sox.

So, if I don't believe in the curse as the reason, and I don't believe they were the worst team each year as the reason for the losing...then I have to believe that it boils down to this: The Red Sox players believe in the curse...and their act of believing in that curse causes them to mentally force the errors that we're all familiar with. Sure they'll tell you they don't believe in the curse, but you know it has to occur to them sometime, "Hey, if we win this, we'll be doing what Sox teams for decades have been unable to do." That kind of historical failure adds a layer of mental game that we cannot know. I know they're professionals, but they're humans (hmm, haven't we had a similar football-related conversation?) and humans are unable to separate from their brains and emotions.

Bottom line is this: I refuse to believe that the plight of the Sox is purely coincidental. That every year they get close they choke because of pure happenstance and chance. Because that would be like flipping a coin a thousand times and getting a thousand heads. It just doesn't happen. The laws of probability do not allow it. So there has to be some factor. It's not all about the skill levels of the teams, it's not the spooky ghosts, so it must be mental. It must be that Buckner bent down for that grounder with his brain thinking "Man, as soon as I scoop this up we'll break the curse!!" so that he get's so distracted or over-excited that he misses it.

That's just my theory. Either way, they've broken a record already, forcing a game seven after being down 3-0. That means, that this is their year and they beat the Yankees and capture the series....or, that they'l choke in some grand humiliating fashion. Either way, this game is one to watch tonight, for sure.

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